Forex

Weekly update on interest rate assumptions

.Fee decreases next to year-endFed: 43 bps (95% probability of cost cut at the upcoming conference).2025: 134 bpsECB: 30 bps (82% probability of 25 bps price cut at the upcoming meeting).2025: 143 bps BoE: 41 bps (89% chance of price cut at the upcoming meeting).2025: 127 bps BoC: 29 bps (85% likelihood of 25 bps fee reduced at the upcoming appointment).2025: 110 bps RBA: 8 bps (91% possibility of no adjustment at the upcoming appointment) 2025: 57 bps RBNZ: 53 bps (90% possibility of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming appointment).2025: 158 bps SNB: 31 bps (75% chance of 25 bps fee reduced at the upcoming conference).2025: 68 bpsRate walks by year-endBoJ: 6 bps (85% chance of no modification at the upcoming conference) 2025: thirty three bps * where you observe 25 bps fee decrease, the rest of the possibility is for a fifty bps cut.This write-up was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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